Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Ducks:
- Home Field Advantage. Anaheim Ducks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ANA 52% (−3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: ANA 55% (0)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Ducks defeated the Oilers 6-5.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Anaheim Ducks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Anaheim Ducks (30-23) vs Edmonton Oilers (28-22)
- Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Ducks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
2 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
4 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Oilers
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 55% win probability, while Oilers has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.