Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils
New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals head-to-head
New Jersey Devils 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Devils:
- Home Field Advantage. Devils are 8-2 at home this season; Capitals are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NJD 51% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: NJD 57% (+1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: NJD 56% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Capitals at Devils
The Capitals visit the Devils at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Devils a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Capitals to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Devils (medium): Devils are 8-2 at home this season; Capitals are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Capitals (low): Devils ELO 1529 vs Capitals ELO 1558 (diff: -29)
- Recent Form is neutral: Similar form: Devils (7-4) vs Capitals (6-4)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Jersey Devils
- ELO RatingFavors Washington Capitals
- Recent FormNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Capitals
Devils
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New Jersey Devils
- Previous game70%NJD win probability
- Next game57%WSH win probability
Washington Capitals
- Previous game73%WSH win probability
- Next game57%WSH win probability
Other games on Nov 12, 2026
- 51%CAR win probability
- 60%BOS win probability
- 55%TOR win probability
- 53%CBJ win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Devils has a 56% win probability, while Capitals has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.