Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks head-to-head
Edmonton Oilers 56% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Oilers:
- Recent Form. Oilers (8-1) in better form than Canucks (2-9)
- ELO Rating. Oilers ELO 1562 vs Canucks ELO 1414 (diff: +149)
- Home Field Advantage. Oilers are 5-3 at home this season; Canucks are 1-8 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the injury edge were neutral: EDM 69% (+13)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: EDM 49% (−7)
- If the rating edge were neutral: EDM 51% (−5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: EDM 51% (−5)
Win probability movement
EDM home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Canucks at Oilers
The Canucks visit the Oilers at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Oilers a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Canucks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Canucks (high): Canucks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favors the Oilers (medium): Oilers (8-1) in better form than Canucks (2-9)
- ELO Rating favors the Oilers (medium): Oilers ELO 1562 vs Canucks ELO 1414 (diff: +149)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Oilers have 8 player(s) ruled out, while the Canucks have 4.
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Vancouver Canucks
- Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Canucks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Injury Report
Oilers
Canucks
Key Players
Canucks
Oilers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Edmonton Oilers
- Previous game51%EDM win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Vancouver Canucks
- Previous game64%WPG win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Other games on Nov 8, 2026
- 51%OTT win probability
- 54%NJD win probability
- 60%MTL win probability
- 52%DAL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 56% win probability, while Canucks has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.