Utah Utah Hockey Club at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators vs Utah Hockey Club head-to-head
Ottawa Senators 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Senators:
- Home Field Advantage. Senators are 6-3 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 5-5 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the injury edge were neutral: OTT 56% (+5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: OTT 47% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: OTT 52% (+1)
- If the rating edge were neutral: OTT 52% (+1)
Win probability movement
OTT home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Utah Hockey Club at Senators
The Utah Hockey Club visit the Senators at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Senators a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Utah Hockey Club to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Utah Hockey Club (medium): Utah Hockey Club less affected by injuries: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 3 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Senators...
- Home Field Advantage favors the Senators (medium): Senators are 6-3 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 5-5 on the road
- Recent Form is neutral: Similar form: Senators (7-4) vs Utah Hockey Club (7-4)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Senators have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Utah Hockey Club have 3.
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Ottawa Senators
- Recent FormNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Injury Report
Senators
Utah Hockey Club
Key Players
Utah Hockey Club
Senators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Ottawa Senators
- Previous game61%OTT win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Utah Hockey Club
- Previous game58%UTA win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Other games on Nov 8, 2026
- 54%NJD win probability
- 60%MTL win probability
- 52%DAL win probability
- 57%CAR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Senators has a 51% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.