San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars vs San Jose Sharks head-to-head
Dallas Stars 52% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Stars:
- Home Field Advantage. Stars are 5-2 at home this season; Sharks are 5-5 on the road
- ELO Rating. Stars ELO 1523 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +65)
- Recent Form. Stars (6-3) in better form than Sharks (6-4)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the injury edge were neutral: DAL 60% (+8)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DAL 47% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: DAL 50% (−2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: DAL 51% (−1)
Win probability movement
DAL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Sharks at Stars
The Sharks visit the Stars at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Stars a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Sharks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Sharks (medium): Sharks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Stars 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favors the Stars (medium): Stars are 5-2 at home this season; Sharks are 5-5 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Stars (low): Stars ELO 1523 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +65)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Stars have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Sharks have 4.
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors San Jose Sharks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Stars
- ELO RatingFavors Dallas Stars
- Recent FormFavors Dallas Stars
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Injury Report
Stars
Sharks
Key Players
Sharks
Stars
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Dallas Stars
- Previous game64%CBJ win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
San Jose Sharks
- Previous game61%MIN win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Other games on Nov 8, 2026
- 51%OTT win probability
- 54%NJD win probability
- 60%MTL win probability
- 57%CAR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Stars has a 52% win probability, while Sharks has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX.