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Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings

Los Angeles Kings vs Pittsburgh Penguins head-to-head

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Kings logo
Kings
Los Angeles
0
vs
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
0
LAK 65%35% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Kings 65% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kings:

  • Injuries. Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Kings are 1-5 at home this season; Penguins are 2-7 on the road

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the injury edge were neutral: LAK 53% (−12)
  • If the home-field edge were neutral: LAK 62% (−3)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: LAK 67% (+2)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: LAK 66% (+1)

Win probability movement

LAK home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement70%59%48%Injuries +12.3Oct 24Oct 25

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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Venuecrypto.com Arena
Los Angeles, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Penguins (away)
Kings (home)
35%
Win probability
65%
0
High-impact factors
1
8
Players ruled out
5

Game Preview

Penguins at Kings

The Penguins visit the Kings at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.

Our model gives the Kings a 65% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Penguins to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Kings (high): Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Kings (low): Kings are 1-5 at home this season; Penguins are 2-7 on the road
  • Recent Form favors the Penguins (low): Penguins (4-6) in better form than Kings (2-4)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kings have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Penguins have 8.
Kings65%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors LAK

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Kings
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Kings
  • Recent FormFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
  • ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PIT
LAK
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours PIT|Favours LAK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 8 out, 0 doubtful

Kings
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 3:01:01 AM

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As of Oct 24, 2026

Kings

Alex TurcotteC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Jan JenikC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Jakub DvorakD(Upper Body)
OUT
Kevin FialaLW(Lower Leg)
OUT
Quinton ByfieldRW(Upper Body)
OUT

Penguins

Evgeni MalkinC(Illness)
OUT
Ben KindelC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Trevor van RiemsdykD(Lower Body)
OUT
Samuel GirardD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Ryan GravesD(Knee)
OUT
Egor ChinakhovRW(Lower Body)
OUT
Bryan RustRW(Lower Body)
OUT
Justin BrazeauRW(Lower Body)
OUT

Key Players

Penguins

Arturs SilovsG
Sergei MurashovG
Hendrix LapierreC
Sidney CrosbyC
Connor DewarC

Kings

Anton ForsbergG
Darcy KuemperG
Alex TurcotteCOUT
-0.8% win prob impact
Samuel HeleniusC
Scott LaughtonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

Kings has a 65% win probability, while Penguins has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA.

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