Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings vs Pittsburgh Penguins head-to-head
Los Angeles Kings 65% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kings:
- Injuries. Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Kings are 1-5 at home this season; Penguins are 2-7 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the injury edge were neutral: LAK 53% (−12)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAK 62% (−3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: LAK 67% (+2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAK 66% (+1)
Win probability movement
LAK home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Penguins at Kings
The Penguins visit the Kings at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Kings a 65% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Penguins to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Kings (high): Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favors the Kings (low): Kings are 1-5 at home this season; Penguins are 2-7 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Penguins (low): Penguins (4-6) in better form than Kings (2-4)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kings have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Penguins have 8.
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Kings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Kings
- Recent FormFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 8 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
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Injury Report
Kings
Penguins
Key Players
Penguins
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Los Angeles Kings
- Previous game50%LAK win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Previous game63%BOS win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 8, 2026
- 51%OTT win probability
- 54%NJD win probability
- 60%MTL win probability
- 52%DAL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 65% win probability, while Penguins has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA.

