New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers vs New York Rangers head-to-head
Edmonton Oilers 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Oilers:
- Home Field Advantage. Oilers are 5-3 at home this season; Rangers are 2-7 on the road
- Recent Form. Oilers (8-2) in better form than Rangers (7-5)
- ELO Rating. Oilers ELO 1549 vs Rangers ELO 1515 (diff: +33)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: EDM 55% (−6)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: EDM 59% (−2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: EDM 60% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Rangers at Oilers
The Rangers visit the Oilers at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Oilers a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Rangers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Oilers (medium): Oilers are 5-3 at home this season; Rangers are 2-7 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Oilers (low): Oilers (8-2) in better form than Rangers (7-5)
- ELO Rating favors the Oilers (low): Oilers ELO 1549 vs Rangers ELO 1515 (diff: +33)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Rangers
No player data available
Oilers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Edmonton Oilers
- Previous game65%EDM win probability
- Next game67%EDM win probability
New York Rangers
- Previous game70%OTT win probability
- Next game53%CGY win probability
Other games on Nov 9, 2026
- 54%VAN win probability
- 56%SJS win probability
No other game on this slate
No other game on this slate
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 61% win probability, while Rangers has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.