New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings vs New York Islanders head-to-head
Los Angeles Kings 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Kings:
- Home Field Advantage. Kings are 1-5 at home this season; Islanders are 2-4 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: LAK 55% (+4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAK 49% (−2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAK 51% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Islanders at Kings
The Islanders visit the Kings at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Kings a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Islanders to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Recent Form favors the Islanders (low): Islanders (5-3) in better form than Kings (2-5)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Kings (low): Kings are 1-5 at home this season; Islanders are 2-4 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Kings ELO 1465 vs Islanders ELO 1466 (diff: -1)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors New York Islanders
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Kings
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Islanders
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Los Angeles Kings
- Previous game70%NJD win probability
- Next game54%LAK win probability
New York Islanders
- Previous game63%NYI win probability
- Next game54%ANA win probability
Other games on Nov 12, 2026
- 51%CAR win probability
- 60%BOS win probability
- 55%TOR win probability
- 53%CBJ win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 51% win probability, while Islanders has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA.