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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Lightning logo
Lightning
Tampa Bay
2
vs
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
3
TBL 6%94% MTL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Canadiens (away)
Lightning (home)
94%
Win probability
6%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Canadiens defeated the Lightning 3-2.

Our model predicted the Canadiens would win with 94% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Canadiens

Sam MontembeaultG
Kaapo KahkonenG
Jacob FowlerG
Jakub DobesG
Kirby DachC

Lightning

Dennis HildebyG
Mads SogaardG
Andrei VasilevskiyG
Harrison MeneghinG
Kyle KoninG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Lightning has a 6% win probability, while Canadiens has a 94% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL.

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