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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
VGK 54%46% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueT-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Golden Knights (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Golden Knights defeated the Utah Hockey Club 5-4.

Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: Golden Knights are 0-0 at home this season
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club defense (2.7 Opp PPG) better than Golden Knights (3.1 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Golden Knights (29-20) vs Utah Hockey Club (33-25)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Golden Knights won 5-4

Golden Knights won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Golden Knights at 54%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
VGK
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Offensive Efficiency
Favours UTA|Favours VGK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/29/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Colten McIntyreG
Jaxson StauberG
Anson ThorntonG
Vitek VanecekG
Karel VejmelkaG

Golden Knights

Adin HillG
Carter HartG
Akira SchmidG
Carl LindbomG
Raphael LavoieC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Golden Knights has a 54% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.

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