Colorado Avalanche at Utah Utah Hockey Club
Colorado Avalanche vs Utah Hockey Club head-to-head
Utah Utah Hockey Club 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:
- Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 5-1 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form. Utah Hockey Club (8-4) in better form than Avalanche (6-4)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 51% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: UTA 58% (+1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: UTA 56% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club
The Avalanche visit the Utah Hockey Club at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Utah Hockey Club a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Avalanche to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Utah Hockey Club (medium): Utah Hockey Club are 5-1 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Avalanche (low): Utah Hockey Club ELO 1510 vs Avalanche ELO 1547 (diff: -37)
- Recent Form favors the Utah Hockey Club (low): Utah Hockey Club (8-4) in better form than Avalanche (6-4)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Avalanche
Utah Hockey Club
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Utah Hockey Club
- Previous game53%UTA win probability
- Next game62%UTA win probability
Colorado Avalanche
- Previous game56%TBL win probability
- Next game62%COL win probability
Other games on Nov 18, 2026
- 53%BOS win probability
- 59%NJD win probability
No other game on this slate
No other game on this slate
Frequently Asked Questions
Utah Hockey Club has a 57% win probability, while Avalanche has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.

