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Colorado Avalanche at Utah Utah Hockey Club

Colorado Avalanche vs Utah Hockey Club head-to-head

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
43%
UTA 57%43% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 5-1 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Recent Form. Utah Hockey Club (8-4) in better form than Avalanche (6-4)

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 51% (−6)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: UTA 58% (+1)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: UTA 56% (−1)

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VenueDelta Center
Salt Lake City, UT

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Utah Hockey Club (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club

The Avalanche visit the Utah Hockey Club at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.

Our model gives the Utah Hockey Club a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Avalanche to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Utah Hockey Club (medium): Utah Hockey Club are 5-1 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • ELO Rating favors the Avalanche (low): Utah Hockey Club ELO 1510 vs Avalanche ELO 1547 (diff: -37)
  • Recent Form favors the Utah Hockey Club (low): Utah Hockey Club (8-4) in better form than Avalanche (6-4)
Utah Hockey Club57%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors UTA

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
UTA
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours COL|Favours UTA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 12:40:04 PM

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Key Players

Avalanche

Scott WedgewoodG
Trent MinerG
Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Nathan MacKinnonC
Nazem KadriC

Utah Hockey Club

Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Logan CooleyC
Vincent TrocheckC
Kevin StenlundC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

Utah Hockey Club has a 57% win probability, while Avalanche has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.

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