Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars

NFLWeek 10 • regular • 2024

completed

Jaguars

Jacksonville

Vikings

Minnesota

JAX 56%44% MIN

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VenueEverBank Stadium

Jacksonville, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Vikings (away)

Jaguars (home)

44%

Win probability

56%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Vikings won 7-12

Vikings won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Jaguars at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN

JAX

Home Field Advantage

Favours MIN|Favours JAX

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Turnover Differential

No turnover stats available for comparison

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

No defensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Recent Form

No recent form data available

Neutral

Offensive Efficiency

No offensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Jacksonville Jaguars (0 out) vs Minnesota Vikings (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Jaguars

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

Similar rest: Jacksonville Jaguars (6 days) vs Minnesota Vikings (6 days)

Neutral

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:10 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article

Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Jaguars has a 56% win probability, while Vikings has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL.

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