Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Chiefs defeated the Colts 23-20.
Our model predicted the Colts would win with 64% confidence, but the Chiefs pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Chiefs has a 36% win probability, while Colts has a 64% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.