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Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins

NFLWeek 16 • regular • 2025
Final
Dolphins logo
Dolphins
Miami
21
vs
Bengals logo
Bengals
Cincinnati
45
MIA 53%47% CIN
Prediction Confidence:
High

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VenueHard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bengals (away)
Dolphins (home)
47%
Win probability
53%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Bengals defeated the Dolphins 45-21.

Our model predicted the Dolphins would win with 53% confidence, but the Bengals pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Dolphins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Bengals and was a notable factor: Cincinnati Bengals has rest advantage (7 days) over Miami Dolphins (5 days)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Dolphins53%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors MIA

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CIN
MIA
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours CIN|Favours MIA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:27 PM

Frequently Asked Questions

Dolphins has a 53% win probability, while Bengals has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.

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