Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals

NFLWeek 9 • regular • 2024

completed

Cardinals

Arizona

Bears

Chicago

ARI 56%44% CHI

Prediction Confidence:

High

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VenueState Farm Stadium

Glendale, AZ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bears (away)

Cardinals (home)

44%

Win probability

56%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Cardinals won 29-9

Cardinals won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Cardinals at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI

ARI

Home Field Advantage

Favours CHI|Favours ARI

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Turnover Differential

No turnover stats available for comparison

Neutral

Offensive Efficiency

No offensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Recent Form

No recent form data available

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

No defensive stats available for comparison

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Arizona Cardinals (0 out) vs Chicago Bears (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Cardinals

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

Similar rest: Arizona Cardinals (7 days) vs Chicago Bears (7 days)

Neutral

Weather & Conditions

Low impactHow weather & conditionsworks →

1 factor

Weather Impact

Indoor venue - weather not a factor

Neutral

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:09 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article

Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Cardinals has a 56% win probability, while Bears has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ.

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