NBA weekly recap: week of 2026-02-16 (2025-26)
Hit rate this week: 75% across 4 games; season-to-date: 69%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 53% — final GSW 110–BOS 121
- Home Field Advantage (favors GSW)
- Recent Form (favors BOS)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suns at Spurs Fri, Feb 20 | SAS 58% • PHX 42% | SAS 121–PHX 94 | Hit |
| Magic at Kings Fri, Feb 20 | SAC 50% • ORL 50% | SAC 94–ORL 131 | Hit |
| Celtics at Warriors Fri, Feb 20 | GSW 53% • BOS 47% | GSW 110–BOS 121 | Miss |
| Jazz at Grizzlies Sat, Feb 21 | MEM 58% • UTA 42% | MEM 123–UTA 114 | Hit |