Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings
Orlando Magic 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Magic:
- Recent Form. Magic (28-25) in better form than Kings (12-44)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: ORL 44% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ORL 54% (+4)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Magic defeated the Kings 131-94.
Our model predicted the Magic would win with 50% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Magic and was a notable factor: Magic (28-25) in better form than Kings (12-44)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Kings and was a notable factor: Kings are 0-0 at home this season
- Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Kings (12 days) vs Magic (12 days)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Magic won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Orlando Magic
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Sacramento Kings
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
2 factors
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3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Magic
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 50% win probability, while Magic has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.