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Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies

NBAregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
123
vs
Jazz logo
Jazz
Utah
114
MEM 58%42% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Memphis Grizzlies 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Grizzlies:

  • Home Field Advantage. Grizzlies are 0-0 at home this season
  • Recent Form. Grizzlies (20-33) in better form than Jazz (18-38)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: MEM 54% (−4)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: MEM 56% (−2)

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jazz (away)
Grizzlies (home)
42%
Win probability
58%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Grizzlies defeated the Jazz 123-114.

Our model predicted the Grizzlies would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Grizzlies and was a notable factor: Grizzlies are 0-0 at home this season
  • Recent Form favored the Grizzlies and was a contributing factor: Grizzlies (20-33) in better form than Jazz (18-38)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Jazz (+0)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Grizzlies won 123-114

Grizzlies won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Grizzlies at 58%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Memphis Grizzlies
  • Recent FormFavors Memphis Grizzlies
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
MEM
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours UTA|Favours MEM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

3 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/18/2026, 10:26:26 AM

Key Players

Jazz

Svi MykhailiukG
Isaiah CollierG
Keyonte GeorgeG
Josh GreenG
Darryn PetersonG

Grizzlies

Micah PeavyG
Ty JeromeG
Lucas WilliamsonG
Richie SaundersG
Adama BalG

Frequently Asked Questions

Grizzlies has a 58% win probability, while Jazz has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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