Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Spurs:
- Home Field Advantage. Spurs are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form. Spurs (38-16) in better form than Suns (32-23)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SAS 54% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: SAS 56% (−2)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Spurs defeated the Suns 121-94.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs (38-16) in better form than Suns (32-23)
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar defensive efficiency (0.0 vs 0.0 YPP allowed)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Spurs won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Recent FormFavors San Antonio Spurs
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
2 factors
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3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Suns
Spurs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Spurs has a 58% win probability, while Suns has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.