Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Warriors:
- Home Field Advantage. Warriors are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: GSW 49% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: GSW 56% (+3)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Celtics defeated the Warriors 121-110.
Our model predicted the Warriors would win with 53% confidence, but the Celtics won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Warriors and was a notable factor: Warriors are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favored the Celtics and was a contributing factor: Celtics (35-19) in better form than Warriors (29-26)
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar defensive efficiency (0.0 vs 0.0 YPP allowed)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Celtics won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Golden State Warriors
- Recent FormFavors Boston Celtics
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
2 factors
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3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Celtics
Warriors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Warriors has a 53% win probability, while Celtics has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.