Washington Wizards at Miami Heat
NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Wizards (away)
Heat (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Heat won 152-136
Heat won convincingly
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Heat at 56%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
WSH
MIA
Home Field Advantage
Favours WSH|Favours MIA
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Heat
Our Model56%
Wizards
Our Model44%
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/4/2026, 8:30:01 AM
Key Players
Wizards
Tre JohnsonG
Bub CarringtonG
Sharife CooperG
Bilal CoulibalyG
Jaden HardyG
Heat
Dru SmithG
Trevor KeelsG
Pelle LarssonG
Davion MitchellG
Norman PowellG
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Heat has a 56% win probability, while Wizards has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL.