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Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Spurs logo
Spurs
San Antonio
114
vs
Trail Blazers logo
Trail Blazers
Portland
95
SAS 87%13% POR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueFrost Bank Center
San Antonio, TX

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Trail Blazers (away)
Spurs (home)
13%
Win probability
87%
0
High-impact factors
2
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Spurs defeated the Trail Blazers 114-95.

Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 87% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.1 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Trail Blazers (35-36)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Spurs won 114-95

Spurs won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Spurs at 87%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

POR
SAS
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours POR|Favours SAS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Trail Blazers (117.1 Opp PPG)

Spurs

Offensive Efficiency

Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (115.1 PPG)

Spurs

Recent Form

Spurs (53-18) in better form than Trail Blazers (35-36)

Spurs

Turnover Differential

Spurs turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/28/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

Trail Blazers

Sidy CissokoG
Shaedon SharpeG
Chris YoungbloodG
Scoot HendersonG
Jrue HolidayG

Spurs

Stephon CastleG
De'Aaron FoxG
Dylan HarperG
Jordan McLaughlinG
Devin VassellG

Frequently Asked Questions

Spurs has a 87% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 13% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX.

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