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Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Celtics logo
Celtics
Boston
97
vs
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
113
BOS 76%24% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueTD Garden
Boston, MA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

76ers (away)
Celtics (home)
24%
Win probability
76%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The 76ers defeated the Celtics 113-97.

Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 76% confidence, but the 76ers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.1 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Celtics and was a notable factor: Celtics are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

76ers won 97-113

76ers won convincingly

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Celtics at 76%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
BOS
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours PHI|Favours BOS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.1 Opp PPG)

Celtics

Offensive Efficiency

76ers offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)

76ers

Recent Form

Celtics (47-23) in better form than 76ers (39-32)

Celtics

Turnover Differential

Celtics turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/28/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

76ers

Kelly Oubre Jr.G
Tyrese MartinG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Quentin GrimesG
Kyle LowryG

Celtics

Hugo GonzalezG
Ron Harper Jr.G
Payton PritchardG
Baylor ScheiermanG
Jaylen BrownG

Frequently Asked Questions

Celtics has a 76% win probability, while 76ers has a 24% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.

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