NBA2026-27 season
Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Portland Trail Blazers
- Defensive Efficiency — Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Spurs (115.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency — Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Spurs (107.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage — Trail Blazers are 2-0 at home this season; Spurs are 0-2 on the road
San Antonio Spurs
- ELO Rating — Trail Blazers ELO 1557 vs Spurs ELO 1593 (diff: -35)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.