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Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
126
vs
Hawks logo
Hawks
Atlanta
97
NYK 75%25% ATL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueMadison Square Garden
New York, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hawks (away)
Knicks (home)
25%
Win probability
75%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Knicks defeated the Hawks 126-97.

Our model predicted the Knicks would win with 75% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks defense (110.3 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Knicks and was a contributing factor: Knicks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a contributing factor: Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (116.8 PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Knicks won 126-97

Knicks won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Knicks at 75%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ATL
NYK
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours ATL|Favours NYK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Knicks defense (110.3 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)

Knicks

Offensive Efficiency

Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Knicks (116.8 PPG)

Hawks

Recent Form

Knicks (46-25) in better form than Hawks (39-32)

Knicks

Turnover Differential

Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs Hawks (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/28/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

Hawks

Caleb HoustanG
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
Dyson DanielsG
RayJ DennisG
Buddy HieldG

Knicks

Jalen BrunsonG
Jordan ClarksonG
Miles McBrideG
Kevin McCullar Jr.G
Landry ShametG

Frequently Asked Questions

Knicks has a 75% win probability, while Hawks has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

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