Portland Trail Blazers at New York Knicks
New York Knicks vs Portland Trail Blazers head-to-head
Portland Trail Blazers 78% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Trail Blazers:
- Offensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.5 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: POR 62% (−16)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: POR 65% (−13)
- If the rating edge were neutral: POR 79% (+1)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: POR 79% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Trail Blazers at Knicks
The Trail Blazers visit the Knicks at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Trail Blazers a 78% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Knicks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Knicks (low): Knicks ELO 1599 vs Trail Blazers ELO 1557 (diff: +41)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Knicks
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Trail Blazers
Knicks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Knicks
- Previous game54%BOS win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Portland Trail Blazers
- Previous game86%POR win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 21, 2026
- 72%PHI win probability
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- 82%LAC win probability
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Frequently Asked Questions
Knicks has a 22% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 78% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.