Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers
Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers head-to-head
Philadelphia 76ers 72% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (129.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. 76ers ELO 1546 vs Bucks ELO 1350 (diff: +196)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 3-1 at home this season; Bucks are 2-3 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 54% (−18)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 80% (+8)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 66% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 67% (−5)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bucks at 76ers
The Bucks visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the 76ers a 72% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Bucks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (129.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Bucks (medium): Bucks offense (119.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.7 PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the 76ers (medium): 76ers ELO 1546 vs Bucks ELO 1350 (diff: +196)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Milwaukee Bucks
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
76ers defense (107.3 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (129.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Bucks offense (119.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.7 PPG)
Turnover Differential
76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Bucks (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Bucks
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia 76ers
- Previous game51%PHI win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Milwaukee Bucks
- Previous game51%PHI win probability
- Next game-No model yet
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Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 72% win probability, while Bucks has a 28% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.