Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
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Thunder at Spurs
The Thunder visit the Spurs at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX in 2026-2027 NBA regular play.
Our model gives the Thunder a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Spurs will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Thunder (high): Thunder defense (107.5 Opp PPG) better than Spurs (111.7 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Spurs (medium): Spurs are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favors the Thunder (low): Thunder (56-15) in better form than Spurs (53-18)
is favored to win
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Defensive Efficiency
Thunder defense (107.5 Opp PPG) better than Spurs (111.7 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Thunder (56-15) in better form than Spurs (53-18)
Offensive Efficiency
Similar offensive efficiency (118.8 vs 118.5 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Spurs turnover differential (+0) vs Thunder (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Thunder
Spurs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Spurs has a 41% win probability, while Thunder has a 59% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX.