New York Knicks at Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks head-to-head
Minnesota Timberwolves 86% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.5 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Timberwolves are 0-1 at home this season; Knicks are 0-3 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 73% (−13)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 73% (−13)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 84% (−2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: MIN 86% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Knicks at Timberwolves
The Knicks visit the Timberwolves at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Timberwolves a 86% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Knicks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Timberwolves (high): Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Timberwolves (high): Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.5 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Timberwolves (medium): Timberwolves are 0-1 at home this season; Knicks are 0-3 on the road
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (101.5 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Timberwolves turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Knicks
Timberwolves
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Previous game87%MIN win probability
- Next game-No model yet
New York Knicks
- Previous game54%BOS win probability
- Next game78%POR win probability
Other games on Nov 19, 2026
- 86%POR win probability
- 85%MEM win probability
- 63%LAC win probability
No other game on this slate
Frequently Asked Questions
Timberwolves has a 86% win probability, while Knicks has a 14% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.