New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kings defeated the Pelicans 117-113.
Our model predicted the Pelicans would win with 69% confidence, but the Kings pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Pelicans and was a major factor: Pelicans offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Pelicans and was a notable factor: Pelicans defense (119.2 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Kings and was a notable factor: Kings are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kings won by a solid margin
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Kings
Pelicans
Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Pelicans offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Pelicans defense (119.2 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Pelicans (25-47) in better form than Kings (18-53)
Turnover Differential
Kings turnover differential (+0) vs Pelicans (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
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Key Players
Pelicans
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 31% win probability, while Pelicans has a 69% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA.