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Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rockets logo
Rockets
Houston
132
vs
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
101
HOU 75%25% MEM

Make Your Prediction

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VenueToyota Center (Houston)
Houston, TX

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Grizzlies (away)
Rockets (home)
25%
Win probability
75%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rockets defeated the Grizzlies 132-101.

Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 75% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Grizzlies and was a contributing factor: Grizzlies offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Rockets and was a notable factor: Rockets (43-27) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rockets won 132-101

Rockets won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rockets at 75%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MEM
HOU
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours MEM|Favours HOU

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)

Rockets

Recent Form

Rockets (43-27) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)

Rockets

Offensive Efficiency

Grizzlies offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)

Grizzlies

Turnover Differential

Rockets turnover differential (+0) vs Grizzlies (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/12/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Grizzlies

Walter Clayton Jr.G
Scotty Pippen Jr.G
Adama BalG
Rayan RupertG
Javon SmallG

Rockets

Tristen NewtonG
JD DavisonG
Aaron HolidayG
Josh OkogieG
Reed SheppardG

Frequently Asked Questions

Rockets has a 75% win probability, while Grizzlies has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Toyota Center (Houston) in Houston, TX.

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