Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers 75% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Bucks (111.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form. 76ers (39-32) in better form than Bucks (29-41)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 58% (−17)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 68% (−7)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHI 69% (−6)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 71% (−4)
Win probability movement
PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 76ers defeated the Bucks 126-106.
Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 75% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Bucks (111.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers (39-32) in better form than Bucks (29-41)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
76ers won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Recent FormFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
76ers offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Bucks (111.0 PPG)
Recent Form
76ers (39-32) in better form than Bucks (29-41)
Defensive Efficiency
Similar defensive efficiency (116.1 vs 116.2 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Bucks (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Bucks
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 75% win probability, while Bucks has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.