Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Timberwolves defeated the Rockets 136-132.
Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 55% confidence, but the Timberwolves pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.8 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Rockets and was a contributing factor: Rockets are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Timberwolves won by a solid margin
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.8 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)
Recent Form
Similar form: Rockets (43-27) vs Timberwolves (43-28)
Turnover Differential
Rockets turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
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Key Players
Timberwolves
Rockets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockets has a 55% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Toyota Center (Houston) in Houston, TX.