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Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Thunder logo
Thunder
Oklahoma City
108
vs
Lakers logo
Lakers
Los Angeles
90
OKC 83%17% LAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenuePaycom Center
Oklahoma City, OK

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Lakers (away)
Thunder (home)
17%
Win probability
83%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0
Thunder won 108-90

Thunder won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Thunder at 83%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAL
OKC
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours LAL|Favours OKC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Thunder

Our Model83%

Lakers

Our Model17%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Thunder defense (107.5 Opp PPG) better than Lakers (114.9 Opp PPG)

Thunder

Offensive Efficiency

Thunder offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Lakers (116.6 PPG)

Thunder

Recent Form

Thunder (56-15) in better form than Lakers (46-25)

Thunder

Turnover Differential

Thunder turnover differential (+0) vs Lakers (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/5/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Lakers

Nick Smith Jr.G
Bronny JamesG
Luka DoncicG
Chris ManonG
Austin ReavesG

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Nikola TopicG
Cason WallaceG
Aaron WigginsG

Frequently Asked Questions

Thunder has a 83% win probability, while Lakers has a 17% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK.

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