Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Thunder defeated the Suns 131-122.
Our model predicted the Thunder would win with 81% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Thunder and was a major factor: Thunder offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Thunder and was a major factor: Thunder defense (107.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (111.2 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Thunder and was a notable factor: Thunder (56-15) in better form than Suns (39-32)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Thunder won comfortably
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Thunder offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Thunder defense (107.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (111.2 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Thunder (56-15) in better form than Suns (39-32)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Thunder (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Thunder
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 19% win probability, while Thunder has a 81% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.