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Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
126
vs
Cavaliers logo
Cavaliers
Cleveland
142
MEM 25%75% CLE
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueFedExForum
Memphis, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cavaliers (away)
Grizzlies (home)
75%
Win probability
25%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Cavaliers defeated the Grizzlies 142-126.

Our model predicted the Cavaliers would win with 75% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Grizzlies (115.7 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers (44-27) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Cavaliers won 126-142

Cavaliers won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Cavaliers at 75%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CLE
MEM
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours CLE|Favours MEM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Cavaliers defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)

Cavaliers

Offensive Efficiency

Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Grizzlies (115.7 PPG)

Cavaliers

Recent Form

Cavaliers (44-27) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)

Cavaliers

Turnover Differential

Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Cavaliers (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/6/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Cavaliers

Jaylon TysonG
Craig Porter Jr.G
Tyrese ProctorG
James HardenG
Dennis SchroderG

Grizzlies

Kentavious Caldwell-PopeG
Adama BalG
Walter Clayton Jr.G
Ty JeromeG
Jahmai MashackG

Frequently Asked Questions

Grizzlies has a 25% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 75% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.

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