MLB weekly recap: week of 2026-03-02 (2026)
Hit rate this week: 59% across 27 games; season-to-date: 54%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 61% — final TEX 7–LAA 10
- Rest Days (favors TEX)
- Home Field Advantage (favors TEX)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs at Brewers Wed, Mar 4 | MIL 56% • CHC 44% | MIL 1–CHC 4 | Miss |
| Yankees at Nationals Thu, Mar 5 | WSH 56% • NYY 44% | WSH 7–NYY 4 | Hit |
| Brewers at Rockies Thu, Mar 5 | COL 56% • MIL 44% | COL 8–MIL 10 | Miss |
| Athletics at Angels Thu, Mar 5 | LAA 56% • OAK 44% | LAA 11–OAK 16 | Miss |
| Rockies at Athletics Fri, Mar 6 | OAK 56% • COL 44% | OAK 6–COL 11 | Miss |
| Cubs at Padres Sat, Mar 7 | SD 56% • CHC 44% | SD 3–CHC 0 | Hit |
| Yankees at Cardinals Sat, Mar 7 | STL 56% • NYY 44% | STL 2–NYY 3 | Miss |
| Athletics at Cubs Sat, Mar 7 | CHC 56% • OAK 44% | CHC 4–OAK 3 | Hit |
| Brewers at Angels Sat, Mar 7 | LAA 56% • MIL 44% | LAA 1–MIL 7 | Miss |
| Angels at Athletics Sat, Mar 7 | OAK 56% • LAA 44% | OAK 0–LAA 3 | Miss |
| Mets at Nationals Sat, Mar 7 | WSH 56% • NYM 44% | WSH 3–NYM 0 | Hit |
| Rockies at Angels Sun, Mar 8 | LAA 56% • COL 44% | LAA 4–COL 6 | Miss |
| Blue Jays at Orioles Sun, Mar 8 | BAL 56% • TOR 44% | BAL 0–TOR 1 | Miss |
| Braves at Rays Sun, Mar 8 | TB 56% • ATL 44% | TB 9–ATL 8 | Hit |
| Red Sox at Pirates Sun, Mar 8 | PIT 56% • BOS 44% | PIT 9–BOS 7 | Hit |
| Phillies at Twins Sun, Mar 8 | MIN 56% • PHI 44% | MIN 7–PHI 6 | Hit |
| Astros at Nationals Sun, Mar 8 | WSH 56% • HOU 44% | WSH 3–HOU 1 | Hit |
| Tigers at Blue Jays Sun, Mar 8 | TOR 56% • DET 44% | TOR 5–DET 0 | Hit |
| Mets at Yankees Sun, Mar 8 | NYY 56% • NYM 44% | NYY 10–NYM 4 | Hit |
| Giants at Cubs Sun, Mar 8 | CHC 56% • SF 44% | CHC 5–SF 9 | Miss |
| Angels at Rangers Sun, Mar 8 | TEX 61% • LAA 39% | TEX 7–LAA 10 | Miss |
| Royals at Chicago White Sox Sun, Mar 8 | CWS 56% • KC 44% | CWS 5–KC 4 | Hit |
| Angels at Athletics Sun, Mar 8 | OAK 51% • LAA 49% | OAK 11–LAA 7 | Hit |
| Diamondbacks at Reds Sun, Mar 8 | CIN 56% • ARI 44% | CIN 13–ARI 4 | Hit |
| Angels at Athletics Sun, Mar 8 | OAK 56% • LAA 44% | OAK 7–LAA 4 | Hit |
| Mariners at Brewers Sun, Mar 8 | MIL 56% • SEA 44% | MIL 6–SEA 3 | Hit |
| Reds at Padres Sun, Mar 8 | SD 56% • CIN 44% | SD 14–CIN 3 | Hit |