Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers head-to-head
Colorado Rockies 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rockies:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field advantage were neutral: COL 52% (−4)
Win probability movement
COL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Brewers defeated the Rockies 10-8.
Our model predicted the Rockies would win with 56% confidence, but the Brewers won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Rockies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Colorado Rockies (0 out) vs Milwaukee Brewers (0 out)
- Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Brewers won in a close game
How the call held up
The last pre-game call against the final score. Winner pre-game probability is how unexpected the result was.
The model favored COL at 56%. Final: COL 8–MIL 10. The winner's pre-game probability was 44%.
- pre-game call
- COL 56%
- Final score
- COL 8–MIL 10
- Favored team
- The favored team did not win
- Winner's pre-game probability
- 44%
Simple alignment check: whether the team each factor favored won. This is not a causal claim.
- Home Field Advantage favored COL. Did not line up: MIL won.
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral — no side favored.
- Head to Head was neutral — no side favored.
- Injuries was neutral — no side favored.
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Rockies
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Brewers
Rockies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
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Colorado Rockies
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Milwaukee Brewers
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- Next game72%MIL win probability
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Frequently Asked Questions
Rockies has a 56% win probability, while Brewers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick in Scottsdale, Arizona.