New York Mets at New York Yankees
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Mets (away)
Yankees (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Yankees won 10-4
Yankees won by a solid margin
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Yankees at 56%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYM
NYY
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYM|Favours NYY
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/8/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Mets
David PetersonSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Yankees
Will WarrenSP
Carlos RodonSP
Cam SchlittlerSP
Ryan WeathersSP
J.C. EscarraC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Yankees has a 56% win probability, while Mets has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Clover Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida.