MLB2026 season
Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Jun 28, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- SEA at CLESun, Jun 28, 2026CLE 56%CLE 5–6
- SEA at CLESat, Jun 27, 2026CLE 56%CLE 3–4
- SEA at CLEFri, Jun 26, 2026CLE 58%SEA 3–1
- CLE at SEASun, Mar 29, 2026SEA 55%SEA 0–8
- CLE at SEASat, Mar 28, 2026SEA 55%CLE 6–5
- CLE at SEAFri, Mar 27, 2026SEA 55%SEA 1–5
- CLE at SEAThu, Mar 26, 2026SEA 55%CLE 6–4
- SEA at CLEFri, Mar 20, 2026CLE 55%SEA 20–8
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
50%
4 of 8 decided games
Meetings graded
8
2026
Correct calls
4
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cleveland Guardians
No recent factors yet.
Seattle Mariners
- Home Field Advantage — Mariners are 38-35 at home this season; Angels are 30-48 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency — Mariners pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Angels (4.6 RA/G)
- ELO Rating — Mariners ELO 1462 vs Angels ELO 1417 (diff: +46)
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