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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Guardians logo
Guardians
Cleveland
8
vs
Mariners logo
Mariners
Seattle
20
CLE 55%45% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGoodyear Ballpark
Goodyear, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mariners (away)
Guardians (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Mariners defeated the Guardians 20-8.

Our model predicted the Guardians would win with 55% confidence, but the Mariners pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Guardians and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Rest days data not available
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Mariners won 8-20

Mariners won comfortably

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Guardians at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
CLE
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours CLE

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/20/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Mariners

Logan GilbertSP
Luis CastilloSP
George KirbySP
Bryce MillerSP
Bryan WooSP

Guardians

Gavin WilliamsSP
Joey CantilloSP
Tanner BibeeSP
Parker MessickSP
Slade CecconiSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Guardians has a 55% win probability, while Mariners has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Goodyear Ballpark in Goodyear, Arizona.

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