MLB2026 season
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CHC at STLThu, Jul 30, 2026STL 54%CHC 4–2
- CHC at STLWed, Jul 29, 2026STL 54%STL 2–3
- CHC at STLTue, Jul 28, 2026STL 54%CHC 10–2
- CHC at STLMon, Jul 27, 2026STL 54%CHC 7–3
- STL at CHCSun, Jul 5, 2026CHC 56%CHC 4–6
- STL at CHCSat, Jul 4, 2026CHC 56%STL 3–0
- STL at CHCFri, Jul 3, 2026CHC 63%STL 17–1
- CHC at STLSun, May 31, 2026STL 54%STL 1–5
- CHC at STLSat, May 30, 2026STL 54%CHC 6–1
- CHC at STLFri, May 29, 2026STL 56%STL 5–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
4
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago Cubs
- Offensive Efficiency — Cubs offense (5.2 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.5 R/G)
St. Louis Cardinals
- Injuries — Cardinals healthier (6 out, 0 doubtful) vs Brewers (6 out, 0 doubtful)
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