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MLB2026 season

Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Jun 14, 2026

Giants logo
SF
San Francisco Giants
5
vs
Cubs logo
CHC
Chicago Cubs
1
SF 56%44% CHC
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
43%
3 of 7 decided games
Meetings graded
7
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Chicago Cubs
  • Offensive Efficiency — Cubs offense (5.2 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.5 R/G)
San Francisco Giants
  • Home Field Advantage — Giants are 33-34 at home this season; Dodgers are 43-26 on the road

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