MLB2026 season
Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, May 6, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- BOS at DETWed, May 6, 2026DET 55%BOS 4–0
- BOS at DETTue, May 5, 2026DET 55%BOS 10–3
- BOS at DETMon, May 4, 2026DET 48%BOS 5–4
- DET at BOSMon, Apr 20, 2026BOS 55%BOS 6–8
- DET at BOSSun, Apr 19, 2026BOS 55%DET 6–2
- DET at BOSSat, Apr 18, 2026BOS 55%DET 4–1
- DET at BOSFri, Apr 17, 2026BOS 57%BOS 0–1
- DET at BOSTue, Mar 10, 2026BOS 56%DET 7–2
- BOS at DETFri, Mar 6, 2026—DET 3–11
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
38%
3 of 8 decided games
Meetings graded
8
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Boston Red Sox
- ELO Rating — Yankees ELO 1533 vs Red Sox ELO 1567 (diff: -35)
Detroit Tigers
- Defensive Efficiency — Tigers pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Pirates (4.6 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Tigers are 36-32 at home this season; Pirates are 31-40 on the road
- ELO Rating — Tigers ELO 1529 vs Pirates ELO 1496 (diff: +33)
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