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Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
0
vs
Red Sox logo
Red Sox
Boston
4
DET 55%45% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueComerica Park
Detroit, Michigan

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Sox (away)
Tigers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Red Sox defeated the Tigers 4-0.

Our model predicted the Tigers would win with 55% confidence, but the Red Sox pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Tigers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Tigers (0 out) vs Red Sox (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Red Sox won 0-4

Red Sox won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Tigers at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
DET
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/6/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Red Sox

Brayan BelloSP
Connelly EarlySP
Sonny GraySP
Ranger SuarezSP
Payton TolleSP

Tigers

Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jack FlahertySP
Kevin McGonigleSS

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Tigers has a 55% win probability, while Red Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan.

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