Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Nationals (away)
Marlins (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Marlins won 3-2
Marlins won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Marlins at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
WSH
MIA
Home Field Advantage
Favours WSH|Favours MIA
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/20/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Nationals
No player data available
Marlins
Janson JunkSP
Sandy AlcantaraSP
Eury PerezSP
Max MeyerSP
Joe MackC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Marlins has a 55% win probability, while Nationals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium in Jupiter, Florida.