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Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Padres logo
Padres
San Diego
10
vs
Mariners logo
Mariners
Seattle
3
SD 55%45% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenuePeoria Stadium
Peoria, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mariners (away)
Padres (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Padres defeated the Mariners 10-3.

Our model predicted the Padres would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Padres and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Padres won 10-3

Padres won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Padres at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
SD
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours SD

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/23/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Mariners

Logan GilbertSP
Emerson HancockSP
Luis CastilloSP
Bryan WooSP
Bryce MillerSP

Padres

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Padres has a 55% win probability, while Mariners has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Peoria Stadium in Peoria, Arizona.

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