NHL2026-27 season
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Mon, Oct 5, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Philadelphia Flyers
- Injuries — Flyers healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Rangers 5 out, 0 doubtful
Tampa Bay Lightning
- Recent Form — Lightning (7-3) in better form than Wild (6-3)
- ELO Rating — Wild ELO 1508 vs Lightning ELO 1536 (diff: -28)
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