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New York Rangers at Seattle Kraken

New York Rangers vs Seattle Kraken head-to-head

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
0
vs
Rangers logo
Rangers
New York
0
SEA 71%29% NYR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 71% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Injuries. Kraken healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Rangers 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 5-1 at home this season; Rangers are 2-7 on the road

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the injury edge were neutral: SEA 59% (−12)
  • If the home-field edge were neutral: SEA 65% (−6)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: SEA 72% (+1)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: SEA 71% (0)

Win probability movement

SEA home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement76%65%54%Injuries +12.4Oct 24Oct 25

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rangers (away)
Kraken (home)
29%
Win probability
71%
0
High-impact factors
2
5
Players ruled out
4

Game Preview

Rangers at Kraken

The Rangers visit the Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.

Our model gives the Kraken a 71% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Rangers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Kraken (high): Kraken healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Rangers 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Kraken (high): Kraken are 5-1 at home this season; Rangers are 2-7 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Rangers (low): Kraken ELO 1494 vs Rangers ELO 1523 (diff: -29)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Rangers have 5.
Kraken71%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors SEA

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Rangers
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYR
SEA
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours NYR|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Kraken healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Rangers 5 out, 0 doubtful

Kraken

Home Field Advantage

Kraken are 5-1 at home this season; Rangers are 2-7 on the road

Kraken

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 3:00:53 AM

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As of Oct 24, 2026

Kraken

Jake O'BrienC(Lower Body)
OUT
Ryan LindgrenD(Upper Body)
OUT
Jared McCannLW(Lower Body)
OUT
Jacob MelansonRW(Chest)
OUT

Rangers

Joe VelenoC(Lower Body)
OUT
Aidan ThompsonC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Igor ShesterkinG(Knee)
OUT
Joonas KorpisaloG(Lower Body)
OUT
Adam SykoraLW(Lower Body)
OUT

Key Players

Rangers

No player data available

Kraken

Philipp GrubauerG
Joey DaccordG
Matty BeniersC
Berkly CattonC
Curtis DouglasC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

More games

Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.

Seattle Kraken

New York Rangers

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Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 71% win probability, while Rangers has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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