Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning
NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Canadiens (away)
Lightning (home)
32%
Win probability
68%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Lightning defeated the Canadiens 3-2.
Our model predicted the Lightning would win with 68% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Canadiens
Sam MontembeaultG
Kaapo KahkonenG
Jacob FowlerG
Jakub DobesG
Kirby DachC
Lightning
Dennis HildebyG
Mads SogaardG
Andrei VasilevskiyG
Harrison MeneghinG
Kyle KoninG
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Lightning has a 68% win probability, while Canadiens has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL.